Monday, January 03, 2011

Election in 2011. Yes or no?

Do you believe that there will be a federal election in 2011?  

Personally I don't believe we will, unless the Liberals "push" Ignatieff into it (possible) and the NDP and Bloc both decide to play along (less likely), but there seem to be many who do think that we will be heading to the polls in 2011.

What do you think and why?


robins111 said...

I don't think there will be an election in 2011 unless Iggy up and dies on us.

At which time, there will be another leadership race, and they'll go further in the hole.

I suspect that Trudeau Lrva will be annointed, cheered on by the Ceeb and Star.

Ardvark said...

The money issue is seldom mentioned but I doubt that the Liberals can afford to fight an election.

Bec said...

I like your evaluation AA and pretty much where I sit too.

I believe the noise coming from MIA is nothing more than his handlers whispering in his, non politically savvy, ear.
I sense it's Liberal mutiny with the map-less captain about to be pointed in the direction of the plank.

Although he will be the last to know because as we have all learned and MIA has yet to, Liberals, eat their own.

Decades of arrogant entitlement have turned the party into nothing more than a collection of angry, sneaky back stabbers.

No election.

robins111 said...

Two things I want to comment on the first being Varks point about funding. I suspect that Elections Canada (also known as we the hate conservative club) will come up with some weird allowance on how the libs can cancel their deficit prior to the next leadership shin-dig.

Likely some un-biased org like the Power Corp. will assume the debt and life will go on.

The second is a hysterical joke I read today at James Dellingpole.

Q. why did God give Liberals annoying and whiney voices.

A. So that even the blind could hate them.

Anonymous said...

Not likely. MIA hasn't reached his "best before date" ie: pension. Some others may be in the same boat.

The_Iceman said...

I suppose the theory goes that the Liberals don't want to wait until 2012 because Harper is allegedly a tyrant. If he is so bad, how can you justify allowing him to go full term? The fall election in Ontario has many like Chantal Hebert saying if it is going to be in 2011, it will be in the spring.

Personally I believe there will only be an election if the Liberals force one.

renegade tory said...

I think the Liberal Party is tired of sitting on the Opposition benches, their butts are itching.. and Iggy has no political skills so we most likely will have an election this spring

Ardvark said...

Ignatieff might just want to roll the dice so he can get it all over with and return to the faculty club at Harvard.

R. G. Harvie said...

If the economy in Canada continues to fizzle relative to other world economies.. I think you could see Ignatieff pull the plug - both because he may see an opening to be King, even in a minority - and beyond that, there is a sharpening of the knives going on behind his back if he doesn't do something "leader-worthy".

I vote "yes".

Liz J said...

Ignatieff can't pull the plug without help from some of his coalition cohorts. He will hang in as long as he can and his pension will be a consideration.

CanadianSense said...

Internal revolt is most likely catalyst.
Ignatieff trying to deflect from low support including poor fundraising make make him more vulnerable from internal leaks.
Liberals are not patient or loyal.
NDP and Bloc have least to gain if they are trading seats amongst themselves.

Ottawa convention for Federal Liberals in spring? Ontario election in Fall. All three parties must show up to vote against budget.

If no drastic cuts are presented with modest or zero growth in many programs what is the trigger for the opposition?

No enough spending? Repealing corp tax reduction? Allow overcrowding in prisons to continue after 2 for 1 has Royal Assent?

Seems illogical for them to now oppose spending they allow to pass in 2010.

Mission extension was not a vote winner for the Liberals.

Twenty-forty five seats are being targeted by CPC. Pundits Guide had a list of close ridings after 2008 G.E. results before the meltdown of the left in 2009-2010.

I blogged about 20 seats 'low hanging fruit' for 2012

Campaigns matter and the talking points by the Liberals appear to be very weak.

Ardvark said...

Late update: I was wrong, oh so wrong but as we all know the election that was forced by the opposition (all 3 of them) has given us a majority conservative gov't, stability, and has destroyed 1 or maybe even 2 out of the 3 parties that thought it wise to push an election.