It is a day late but here is my take on what the hell happened on Monday in Alberta vote.
The Wildrose lost. < true.
The 'pundits' lost. < 99% of them did anyway.
The pollsters lost. < not really. The polls showed tightening and the trend lines were there. The number didn't lie, but pollsters like to go into interpreting those numbers, it is their job right?, rather than just producing the data, and in this they ALL got it wrong.
The MSM lost. < true. See above on the pollsters.
The Albertaardvark lost. < true. I got sucked into believing the numbers as much as the next guy.
Strategic voting worked. < partly.
The fear campaign worked. < yes it did, but it wasn't enough to cause the loss on its own.
The power of incumbency. < Huge contributing factor. see below of lack of experience.
The PC's won. < that depends on what your definition of 'won' is.
Lack of experience of the Wildrose. < another huge factor that IMHO was the determining factor with the demographic known as the 'undecided' voter who made the decision most likely last weekend or at the ballot box. I am sure many saw the fear mongering for what it was, a political ploy to drive wedges between Albertans, but it left that seed of doubt, and with the lack of experience/familiarity with the Wildrose, many went with the incumbent devil they know and have been voting for for 41 years.
Bumper stickers that read: "Don't blame me. I voted Wildrose" < might turn out to be a great investment.*
The loss will make Danielle Smith a stronger leader and a better premier. < true. FTR: Dean called the election outcome a month ago.
"I am having a muffin. Sorry, I thought I was on Twitter". < from a brilliant video commentary that nails the fear campaign as the ploy it was.
Alberta won. < Yet to be determined, but I have already seen signs to
the contrary from the PC's showing that they haven't learned a thing. (That they won with their great campaign and the collapse of the Wildrose had nothing to do with the result. This arrogance does not bode well)
*If you are getting financial advice from a political blog written by someone who still has 3 boxes of "Team Lou" t-shirts in PC orange and blue to unload, you might be better of using that money for some professional help.